7 min read
Monte Carlo Delivery Forecasting, Explained
How Monte Carlo simulation turns your team’s historical throughput into honest "when will it be done?" answers — and why it beats story-point estimation.
- Forecasting
- Flow Metrics
- Jira
Practical writing on flow metrics, delivery forecasting, diagrams-as-code, and building apps for the Atlassian ecosystem.
How Monte Carlo simulation turns your team’s historical throughput into honest "when will it be done?" answers — and why it beats story-point estimation.
Velocity tells you how many points you burned. Lead time percentiles tell you when work actually ships. Here’s why the second answers the questions stakeholders ask.
The Mermaid syntax you’ll actually use — flowcharts, sequence diagrams, ERDs, Gantt charts, and state diagrams — with copy-paste examples that render right inside Jira and Confluence.